Wood Mackenzie: Ras Laffan attacks fundamentally reshape global LNG outlook
What happened
The 18 March strike damaged the Pearl GTL facility, while the subsequent attack caused further damage to several of the LNG facilities. Qatari LNG production has been halted since 2 March and declared force majeure from 4 March, removing approximately 80 million tpy, around 19% of global LNG supply from the market. This matters for Projects (EPC/EPCM & Construction) because fresh price movement and input-cost detail should reset bid assumptions, lstk vs reimbursable choice, and negotiation guardrails with 18, 2, 4 as the clearest commercial anchors; expect bid selectivity
Buyer takeaway
For Projects (EPC/EPCM & Construction), treat this as a cost-boundary signal rather than just a headline; buyer assumptions may need refreshing before the next quote or award decision
Cost / money
Use this to refresh should-cost views and challenge any fast repricing. Keep the read-through directional unless the source itself provides hard commercial numbers
Supplier / commercial
Suppliers with fresh cost justification may push harder on reopeners, indexation, shorter quote validity, or pass-through language. Buyers should separate real drivers from negotiation posture
Safety / operations
The operational risk is indirect: tight budgets or repricing battles often reappear later as reduced slack, substitutions, or execution compromises that buyers then have to manage
What to watch
Watch for shorter quote validity, reopeners, pass-through requests, or attempts to reset pricing on the back of weak evidence
Key facts
- The 18 March strike damaged the Pearl GTL facility, while the subsequent attack caused furthe
- Qatari LNG production has been halted since 2 March and declared force majeure from 4 March
- The under-construction North Field East expansion, which would add 32 million tpy, was antici
- “Market expectations had been for a short disruption, with a controlled restart restoring sup
